Fire Crux MageTier 1
at DTR STORE CHAMPS
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 28.0% | 7 | 2-5-0 | 28.6% | 36.4% | 37.4% | -6.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 12.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.4% | +8.6 |
| Wind Allies | 10.0% | 4 | 4-0-0 | 100.0% | 75.0% | 63.8% | +8.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 8.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.7% | -4.2 |
| Fire Suzaku | 8.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 54.7% | +3.5 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 37.6% | -11.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.3% | +12.8 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.5% | +7.2 |
| Slimes | 4.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.3% | +12.8 |
| Water Allies | 4.0% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 30.3% | -14.7 |
| Water Fractal | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.7% | -10.1 |
| Water Genbu | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Polkhawk | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.5% | +7.1 |
| Fire Suited | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.2% | -18.9 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.2% | -9.2 |
| Water Slimes | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 37 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 37 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Duplicitous Replication | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mnemonic Charm | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rile the Abyss | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Purge in Flames | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Undying Dreams | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Liminal Guide | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reckoning's Wake | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sword of Shadows | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Exorcise Curses | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sword of Seeking | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Demolition | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Flame-Rune Swordsman | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crux Sight | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Inert Sword | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tome of Knowledge | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Evercurrent Raider | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cremation Ritual | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spark Alight | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Hasty Messenger | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Chalice of Blood | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Varuckan Acolyte | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| The Looking Glass | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spirit Blade: Ascension | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Innervate Fury | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Excalibur, Reflected Edge | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fiery Interference | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Prismatic Edge | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Heighten Spellcraft | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Library Witch | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |